6:49 PM PST
Much closer than I expected. No decisive calls in critical states that Clinton must win. I’m most worried about Michigan. Florida may go to Trump, but that’s a must win for him, not for Clinton. I expect a long night.
6:58
Clinton now leading in VA. NC exits look better to me than FL or MI. But these exit numbers are super close.
7:32
I agree that Michigan is likely to be the key. Unless Clinton can win in NC or FL, which seems unlikely. Michigan looks very close to me.
7:37
NC exits no longer looking good for Clinton. Exits just don’t mean that much tonight.
8:06
Senate will remain Republican. A lot of Detroit votes to be counted in MI. The exits don’t look good in AZ or Iowa. NC just called for Trump. It makes MI absolutely critical unless she some how wins FL, which I don’t see.
8:18
Exits look pretty good for Clinton in WI and NV. At MSNBC Cornacki (sp) just layer out a path where Trump needs to win one of those three. That’s correct, but I think MI is the realistic place for him to break through.
8:23
Latest Wisconsin exits make it look more like lean Trump. Ruh Roh.
8:44
Wisconsin and Michigan could both go for Trump. Clinton is an underdog now. Perhaps not the huge underdog the NYT model says, but still an underdog.
9:18
Clinton is now behind in PA, along with WI and MI. I just can’t see her winning all three. It would be a miracle. NYT gives her a 5 percent chance. That sounds about right.
She is likely to win the popular vote as Trump leads by about 1.2 million votes, but Clinton is likely to run up a 2 to 3 million vote margin in California.
10:39
Feels weird waiting for the final calls of states which are all but certain to mean that Trump will be the next President. I was wrong about the election and am very disappointed. Clinton may win the popular vote, but that is meaningless in terms of control of the U.S. Government. For some reason though, it matters to me. I want to believe a majority of my fellow citizens preferred Clinton to Trump.
The speech I am most interested in hearing is from President Obama. I hope he has some calming words for us in the coming days.