Polls today generally moved in Clinton’s favor.  Her average lead is closer to 4 than 3.  I think she is more likely to over-perform rather than underperform her polls. I think my electoral college predictions from yesterday evening are about right.  The next state she might get would be Ohio, if she indeed over-performs.

If FL or PA and NH are called before midnight eastern, we will likely have an official winner around 9:00 in the west. If it’s closer we may need to wait for CO and NM to be called.

Slate will have some real time estimates based on turnout at different precincts in swing states.  Unless all of the data from this new source is unambiguous, it’s not likely to be of much value in making an early call in a close election. I’ll check it out tomorrow.

Remember to vote if you haven’t already.