Been real busy for the past few weeks. Been thinking a lot, but not making time to post.   So hear a few random thoughts.

I have not been that concerned about Trump’s recent rise in the polls (which now appears to be reversing).  There is typically a small bump for a nominee once his or her nomination is secured.  This is magnified when the other party’s nomination has not been settled, as is the case this year.

I am a little concerned about the weak jobs report last week.  Economic uncertainty will not help Clinton’s chances. Just one or two bad jobs reports does not mean there will be a recession, but I’m more unnerved by this development than the polls.

I think Hillary attack along the lines that Trump is unfit temperamentally to be President has been effective.  Not only is it obviously true to almost everyone except extreme Republican partisans, Trump’s sputtering over the top responses only strengthen the argument.  I can see this type of argument working in the debates. Trump makes some thundering attack.  Hillary can just look over at him and say when your done sputtering, I’ll be happy to respond to that.

I think Hillary will win the CA primary today.  No secret sauce or math.  Just my hunch.

I hope Bernie will endorse Hillary soon (this week would be great).  There will be a lot of pressure on him to do so from folks like President Obama and Elizabeth Warren.  Nonetheless, I think there is still a chance he will drag this out till the convention.

Hopefully more blogging in June.