A big win for Hillary in Nevada. At this time with 87 percent counted, it’s 52.5 to 47.4. This was a chance for Bernie to win in a diverse state. Coming up short will blunt his significant momentum. I’m not sure there is future primary day where he get his momentum back.
The biggest news out of South Carolina is Jeb! dropping out. This should help Rubio, more in terms of money, experienced staff, and potential endorsements, rather than actual voters, because Jeb didn’t have many voters.
Trump’s win cements what was already looking like a three way race with Trump, Rubio, and Cruz. I place their respective likelihood of obtaining the nomination in that order. I’m sure others like Nate Silver will have more sophisticated thoughts about how the three way race may go. Kasich and Carson haven’t dropped out yet, but they seem like walking dead to me.